Full Strength of Schedule Ranges for Browns Draft “Competition”

Nov 30, 2013; Columbia, SC, USA; South Carolina Gamecocks defensive end Jadeveon Clowney (7) rushes the passer against the Clemson Tigers in the second quarter at Williams-Brice Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Blake-USA TODAY Sports

Today we have begun to look at the likely draft position for the Cleveland Browns. We discussed the Week 17 draft scenarios looking at teams that could impact the Browns and then we looked at the range of the Browns Strength of Schedule (SOS) based on the results of Week 17 games. Now we look at the 5 teams the Browns could be tied with following the finale in Week 17 and their full ranges. (Data below, full data available by contacting the author)

For statistical people a few things need to be noted. For each team the data is based on results needed for the Browns to be tied with each individual team, i.e. a Redskins win and losses by the Falcons, Bucs, Jaguars and Raiders. We did not attempt to make sure all 5 teams were tied with the Browns overall, just in each match-up. Beyond the wins and losses stated above this played out specifically in looking at the Raiders, as the Raiders have played the Steelers and we are assuming a Steelers win.

Based on our findings we see that the Browns lowest SOS, .516, could only at best placed them at 3rd behind the Redskins and Jaguars, whose highest SOS is .512 and .514  respectively. The Browns highest SOS, .524, however would drop them behind the Redskins, Jaguars and Raiders.

This means that, if all 6 teams finish with 4 wins, the Browns would either draft 4th or 5th. This is a highly likely scenario based on the Week 17 scenarios. Whether the Redskins win or lose they would draft ahead of the Browns. Wins by the Jaguars and Raiders would take them out of this scenario and the Browns would draft 3rd overall.

A win by the Browns changes this equation greatly, but assuming a Browns loss the team will most assuredly be drafting between 3rd and 5th.

Team Lowest SOS Highest SOS
Cleveland Browns 0.516 0.524
Washington Redskins 0.504 0.512
Jacksonville Jaguars 0.506 0.514
Oakland Raiders 0.522 0.525
Atlanta Falcons 0.549 0.557
Tampa Bay Bucs 0.568 0.576

Arranged by Lowest Possible

Team Lowest SOS Highest SOS
Washington Redskins 0.504 0.512
Jacksonville Jaguars 0.506 0.514
Cleveland Browns 0.516 0.524
Oakland Raiders 0.522 0.525
Atlanta Falcons 0.549 0.557
Tampa Bay Bucs 0.568 0.576

Arranged by Highest

Team Lowest SOS Highest SOS
Washington Redskins 0.504 0.512
Jacksonville Jaguars 0.506 0.514
Cleveland Browns 0.516 0.524
Oakland Raiders 0.522 0.525
Atlanta Falcons 0.549 0.557
Tampa Bay Bucs 0.568 0.576

Topics: Cleveland Browns

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