May 8, 2014; New York, NY, USA; Cleveland Browns fans cheer after Johnny Manziel (Texas A&M) is selected as the number twenty-two overall pick in the first round of the 2014 NFL Draft to the Cleveland Browns at Radio City Music Hall. Mandatory Credit: Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

Las Vegas Releases NFL Win Total Projections


The NFL Draft is over. Most free agents have been signed. Rookie mini-camps have either been completed or will happen soon, even if the national media is upset. So its time for Las Vegas to release their NFL Win Total Projections. National Football Post has the full write up here if your interested in other teams. Lets start by taking a look at their projections for the Cleveland Browns’ last year:

Cleveland Browns   Projection: 6 Wins  Actual Record: 4-12

So last year they had higher hopes for the team then they were able to achieve so if you bet the under you would of won some money. That brings us to this year’s prediction. After firing the coaching staff, GM and CEO the Browns added a few players via free agency, made a splash in the draft with Johnny Manziel and added a whole different coaching staff and philosophy. For Vegas, who makes money off of these things, what do they think those changes lead to?

Cleveland Browns  Projection: 6.5 Wins

The Browns are tied with the Buffalo Bills, you know the team whose first round pick we have, for the 4th worst win projections. Just a half a game ahead of the Vikings, 1 ahead of the Raiders and 1.5 ahead of the projected last place Jaguars. Vegas obviously has money riding on these projections and puts numbers where they think they can get the most action that benefits them. With 10 teams within 2 game of the Browns in projections it will be interesting how much money comes in on the team.

Will fans ride the thrill of Johnny Football and bet the over? Will the general population believe the national narrative about the team based on how they handled the rookie mini camp and bet the under?

Note: We are not condoning gambling at all here, just interesting information.

If you were to bet would you bet the over or under on 6.5 wins?

Tags: Cleveland Browns NFL Win Total Projections

  • Letterman007

    I wonder what the projection would have been with Josh Gordon here for a full season?

    • Jared Mueller

      Great question. I am not sure if much. Vegas has historically never given 1 player then a half a win unless it was the quarterback.

  • Richard Ciesielski

    I’m for over. I think we get at least 7 wins.

  • Christopher Thompson

    I would be willing to go over @8-8

  • Gary D Smith

    Brown’s end the season 10-6

  • Billy Groves

    Bet the over. Easy money. Anybody know what the yield on this would be? Like say I bet $1k on the over. How much would I win?

    • Jared Mueller

      The over line is -150 so if you bet 1K and win you would get back about 1670

      • Billy Groves

        Now is that my original $1k plus $670, or my original $1k plus $1670?

        • Jared Mueller

          Plus 670 so total 1670